乌克兰危机的影响及启示(英文)

作者:现代院美国所课题组
来源:Contemporary International Relations, 2023, 33(03): 4-25.

摘要

The escalation of the Ukraine crisis over the past year has exerted a significant and far-reaching impact on international politics, the economy, and the military. The international order is collapsing gradually in the post-Cold War era. International politics is becoming increasingly camp-oriented, the international economy is tending more and more toward antiglobalization, the global arms race is growing progressively fiercer, and the application of new military technologies is steering humankind to a new era of war. The United States has used Ukraine to fight a proxy war with Russia and has become the principal beneficiary of this crisis by utilizing this opportunity to strengthen its alliance system, stabilize itself, control Europe, and restrain Russia. Ukraine’s capacity and willingness to fight have intensified with Western support,and neither side is willing to reconcile. A standoff between Russia and Ukraine would prolong the conflict, escalating the risk of nuclear war.However, the possibility of negotiations to contain the crisis cannot be ruled out. The emergency has reminded Europe of the value of strategic autonomy and has warned Asian countries to prohibit the United States from launching new proxy wars in the region. China’s Global Security Initiative and Position Paper on the Political Settlement of the Ukraine Crisis offer innovative ideas that can help the concerned parties to withdraw from the crisis and can aid the international community in building lasting peace.